Advised Friday Morning 31st July

Racecourse: Goodwood
Time: 14:45
Date: 31/07/2020
Horse: Vale of Kent
Current Odds: 7/1 Skybet 5 places else 15/2 generally with bookies paying 4 5 places, look for BOG
Advised Stake & Bet Type: 1.0 Point Each Way
Selection Reasoning

I am siding with a five year old against the younger generation. Montatham has a horrible draw while Prompting is too short & Busker has crept up the handicap ratings. The first of our selections is the well-drawn Vale of Kent. Last year he finished second in this race overcoming a poor draw in stall 17 that required him to use up lots of petrol earlier doors. He backed up that Goodwood run with a cracking effort at York over a mile when once again drawn in the car park(stall 20) and just getting run down late by What’s The Story.

The good to firm ground and stall 3 are good news as is the fact Joe Fanning is back riding as he seems to go well for Joe who has ridden him to win five times. At the start of this season he ran well if too freely at Newmarket before going on to finish a clear fourth behind Dark Vision in the Royal Hunt Cup. He proved his liking for undulating courses with a solid second at Epsom behind Safe Voyage. His recent two runs have not been his best in the Bunbury Cup and International Stakes but the one positive is he didn’t have a hard race last time out. The thinking is this race has been the plan and at his best he is not badly treated off a rating of 108 now that he has finally landed a plum draw! Mark Johnston is the best trainer of Goodwood winners and while Baltic Baron was tempting as a second selection in this race he will need loads of luck coming from behind. After consideration I am going all in on Vale Of Kent to show his true form and land the Golden Mile.

Compare Odds at https://www.oddschecker.com/horse-racing

 

Racecourse: Galway
Time: 17:15
Date: 31/07/2020
Horse: Born To Sea
Current Odds: 10/1 Paddy Power, Betfair SB, Unibet, Skybet, Betfred & Betway, all paying 5 places & BOG
Advised Stake & Bet Type: 0.5 Point Each Way
Selection Reasoning

Born By The Sea should be favourite to win this handicap in my book and is a very strong each way shout. Trained locally in Galway by “colourful trainer” Paul Gilligan this would be a big win for the stable. The market is dominated by the top Irish jumps trainers but none of those horses have shown form near as good as Born By The Sea. He ran a big race in a hot maiden hurdle at Cork last summer only to fall over the last alongside winner Turnpike Trip. That encouraging run was backed up with a third placed run over course and distance behind Mr Everest on good ground when meeting trouble running down into the hurdle in the dip. It finally came together for connections at Killarney where he looks to have Rocket Lad covered at the last when Rocket Lad took a tired fall. Aiming a bit too high he ran at Grade 1 level in a novice hurdle won by Thyme Hill at the Cheltenham November meeting with credit albeit well beaten. On Monday night Born By The Sea finished third to Mt Leinster on the flat which will have set him up nicely for this weak looking handicap hurdle.

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Racecourse: Galway
Time: 17:45
Date: 31/07/2020
Horse: Goodbye Someday
Current Odds: 15/2 Boylesports & Betfred 5 places else 7/1 Paddy Power & Betfair SB both paying 5 places & BOG
Advised Stake & Bet Type: 0.5 Point Each Way
Selection Reasoning

John Kiely sends Goodbye Someday to Galway off the back of an easy win at Tramore. Tramore is an undulating right handed course like Galway so he should have not issues handling the track. His dam Lis A Paoraigh was a Grade 1 winner over hurdles back in the early noughties so he is a very well bred horse by Stowaway. John Kiely is a very patient man and looks like paying off with Goodbye Someday getting his act together on his recent two starts over hurdles. He stays well which will be required here as no doubt they will go hard from the off and coming up the Galway hill is a test of any horse. Denis O’Regan rides and with 10-6 on his back he can go close. Fan De Blues is a horse we backed in the competitive Ladbrokes hurdle at Leopardstown. He ran much too freely that day but was classy on the flat in France and if putting it all together would be hard to beat for Champion Trainer Willie Mullins.

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Racecourse: Galway
Time: 18:15
Date: 31/07/2020
Horse: Great White Shark
Current Odds: 10/1 generally, look for 5 places & BOG
Advised Stake & Bet Type: 0.5 Point Each Way
Selection Reasoning

Great White Shark is running in the same two races as last year and looks every bit as good as last year. She won the qualified riders flat handicap last season and ran a fine race on Monday this year when forced very wide into the straight losing lengths all from an 8lb higher mark. Similar to last summer she tries this race again where she did well to finish third last season against two well handicapped and light weighted rivals not enjoying the clearest of runs to the final flight. Willie Mullins has a very strong hand with six runners. Paul Townend has chosen to ride Canardier who fell at Cheltenham and will love the drying ground. The concern with him is the stiff hill finish over this trip and I am happy to side with Great White Shark who is more experience over hurdles and a year stronger than last season aged six years old. David Mullins rides and if she enjoys good luck in running should be bang there at the finish.

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**Next Selections due Date & Time:

Friday 31st July ~09:00

Racecourse: Galway
Time: 19:45
Date: 31/07/2020
Horse: Cusp of Carabelli
Current Odds: 16/1 Paddy Power, Betfair SB, Boylesports, Skybet & Betfred, all paying 5 places & BOG
Advised Stake & Bet Type: 0.5 Point Each Way
Selection Reasoning

David O’Brien does well with this string and his chasers are always well prepared to jump fences. Cusp Of Carabelli is a credit to connections having won four races and cost only £900! Our selection arrives here off the back of a big run at Gowran Park when runner up to Flooring Porter in a hurdle race. Flooring Porter runs earlier in the valuable staying handicap so if he goes well the price of Cusp of Carabelli will shorten. Cusp Of Carabelli jumps well with a bit of size about him. He won a beginners chase at Tramore last summer and backed up quickly the next day to win over hurdles. As I have mentioned Tramore is a similar track to Galway so that is a positive. JJ Slevin rode him when winning that Tramore hurdle race and is back riding him again over fences as Sean Flanagan is out injured. Cusp of Carabelli will enjoy the drying ground and is not badly treated on a mark of 121 with more to come over fences.

Compare Odds at https://www.oddschecker.com/horse-racing

**Next Selections due Date & Time:

Saturday 1st August ~09:00

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