BET ALCHEMIST — VALUE BACKING SERVICE Every bet published since December 2012

Full Results Analysis

A complete breakdown of every advised selection since the service launched — updated directly from the live results sheet, month by month, year by year.

+787.50
points profit to level stakes, Dec 2012 – Sept 2026
6,884
Total bets advised
990
Winners (14.38%)
9.16 / 1
Average winning price
11.00%
Return on investment
9 / 13
Complete years profitable
01

Profit by year

2013 is the earliest complete calendar year (the service began in December 2012); 2026 is a partial year through August. Nine of the thirteen completed years have closed in profit.

Best year: 2014 (+161.28 pts). Weakest year: 2015 (−60.47 pts). Bars in gold are profitable years; maroon bars are losing years.
02

Cumulative growth

The running total of points profit since the first bet was published, tracking the long-term trajectory of the service through its up and down years.

The balance has never dropped below its 2012 opening level, and sits at +787.50 points after 2025's −45.60pt dip and a recovery through 2026 so far.
03

Seasonality — which months perform best

Points profit for each calendar month, summed across all fourteen years. March stands well clear of every other month — no surprise, given it is Cheltenham Festival month.

Reading the seasonality

March has produced +254.51 pts across fourteen years — nearly a third of total lifetime profit from a single month, driven largely by the big-field handicaps at the Cheltenham Festival.

July and August, the summer festival period, are the next-strongest months at +108.85 pts and +100.65 pts.

September is the only month to sit in negative territory overall, at −5.93 pts.

Strongest: March Weakest: September
04

Full monthly results, 2012–2026

Every monthly points total from the live results sheet. Green figures are profitable months, maroon figures are losing months, and a dash marks a month with no racing covered that year.

05

Biggest winners & longest runs

Pulled from the full record of individual bets rather than the monthly totals — every selection placed since the first bet in December 2012.

The twelve biggest single winners

Ranked by cash profit at standard stakes; points figures assume a 1pt = £50 unit, the level-stakes convention used across most of the service's history. Prices shown are the advised price at the time of the bet.

Longest winning run

7 bets

16–20 August 2020: seven straight profitable selections, starting with Staxton and closing with Prompting, worth +13.05 pts combined.

Longest losing run

19 bets

3–16 November 2013: nineteen consecutive losers, from Call me Bubbles to Nadia De Le Vega, costing −19.00 pts — a reminder of the patience a value-priced strategy demands between the big-priced hits.

06

Reading the numbers

Strike rate & pricing

A 14.38% strike rate across 6,884 bets confirms this is a value-priced service rather than a favourites-backing one — the average winning price of 9.16/1 is well above what a short-priced strategy would need to stay ahead. Profit comes from the size of the occasional big-priced winner outweighing a high number of losing bets, so bank management and patience through losing runs matter more than they would for a low-odds strategy.

Volatility & drawdowns

Four of the last thirteen complete years have finished in the red (2015, 2020, 2022, 2025), with 2015 the deepest at −60.47 pts. None of these downturns have erased the cumulative gains built in the surrounding profitable years, but they illustrate that returns arrive unevenly — heavily weighted toward festival months rather than spread flat across the calendar.