Advised FRIDAY NIGHT 03rd JANUARY

Racecourse: Sandown
Time: 12:45
Date: 04/01/2020
Horse: Indefatigable
Current Odds: 2/1 generally
Advised Stake & Bet Type: 1 Point Win
Selection Reasoning

Only 5 runners in this Listed mares hurdle race. Paul Nicholls Trains the favorite Silver Forever who is short enough in my book. She did finish 2nd in a listed mares race last season at this course I’m looking the winner 1/2 furlong from the finish line. Silver forever was beaten by Floressa Easily at Newbury over 2 miles. I’d much rather back the Paul Weber trained indefatigable. She does have to concede a 2lb penalty But it is a very tough mare. she has run two cracking races of late beaten by lady buttons and Dame De Compagnie. That is the best form on offer here and I think she should be clear favorite.

Compare Odds at https://www.oddschecker.com/horse-racing/

 

Racecourse: Sandown
Time: 15:00
Date: 04/01/2020
Horse: Smooth Stepper
Current Odds: 12/1 Paddy Power, Betfair SB, Betvictor & Ladbrokes, all paying 4 places
Advised Stake & Bet Type: 0.5 Point Each Way
Selection Reasoning

Smooth stepper looks well over priced in this race. He ran a cracker behind kings odyssey off a break beaten only half a length. When trained by Sue Smith he won some good handicap chases at Newcastle and Kelso ending that season on a rating of 146. Alex Hales couldn’t get him right last season but he seems to have found the key to Smooth Stepper as he was good at Warwick. The handicapper has raised him 3lbs which is fair and hopefully he can progress for that run.        Kielan Woods rides with 11-3 on his back. Connections have waited for this valuable chase since November so he has had plenty of time to recover. Soft ground over a three mile trip are his ideal conditions and all looks set for a big run.

Compare Odds at https://www.oddschecker.com/horse-racing/

 

Racecourse: Sandown
Time: 15:35
Date: 04/01/2020
Horse: Distingo
Current Odds: 20/1 Boylesports, Coral, Ladbrokes & Bet365 all 3 places else 16/1 Paddy Power paying 4 places.
Advised Stake & Bet Type: 0.5 Point Each Way
Selection Reasoning

Distingo looks too big a price relative to Smartly Wild who finished 4L ahead, last time out over course and distance. That race was a valuable listed hurdle handicap won by Mack The Man with Protektorat runner up. Protektorat finished first past the post at Cheltenham on Wednesday only to have the stewards award that race to Imperial Alcazar! The key point is the form of the Sandown listed handicap is strong and working out well. Distingo was having his first run since February 2019 and was ridden cold out the back. He caught the eye making up ground on the leaders down the back and was looking like getting involved until meeting the penultimate hurdle on a poor stride. Gary Moore must have been delighted with that run and surely he can progress again on soft ground and a more prominent ride with 10-11 on his back. The fly in the ointment so to speak is the favourite Gunnery who is turned out quickly under a 6lb penalty.

Compare Odds at https://www.oddschecker.com/horse-racing/

**Next Selections due Date & Time:

Sunday Morning 5th January ~10:00

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